Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta cuota de mercado. Mostrar todas las entradas
Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta cuota de mercado. Mostrar todas las entradas

domingo, 20 de octubre de 2013

¿Xiaomi vencerá a Apple?

Xiaomi has beat Apple in China, but can it win over the rest of the world?
By Iris Mansou




Quartz begins a series today profiling companies around the world experiencing explosive growth.

Lei Jun walks on to the stage like a young Steve Jobs. It’s September in Beijing and the founder of one of China’s scrappiest smartphone brands, Xiaomi, is about to unveil its flagship Mi-3 phone. This model uses one of the fastest processors on the market, retails at just over $300 and already has legions of fans.

On the surface, Xiaomi seems to have a lot in common with Apple. Phones are slickly designed, sell out within minutes and have a cult-like following. Lei even wears jeans.

But Xiaomi’s strategy is actually the antithesis of Apple—partly the secret of its success. Apple makes fat margins off hardware and services, while Xiaomi is barely selling its phones above cost. Apple’s budget model, the 5C sells for almost $500 more than Xiaomi’s latest model in China. To reduce costs even more, Xiaomi sells its phones almost exclusively online and the company has increased its sales projection from 15 million to 20 million before the year is through.

Xiaomi’s MIUI operating system is also more open bar than walled garden, which means that any Android device can run its OS and get access to Xiaomi’s store of apps, services and games. Xiaomi recently announced that more than 20 million users had downloaded its operating system and the store has had more than 1 billion downloads.

Indeed, Xiaomi has made its mark on in China’s much-coveted mobile market in a relatively short amount of time. The company is only three years old, yet in the last quarter it shipped more smartphones in China than Apple. The gap was close, with Xiaomi racking up 4.4 million phones versus Apple’s 4.3 million, but the figures still put Xiaomi in sixth place when ranked by the number of phones sold.


Xiaomi’s cheap and cheerful phones. CREDIT? Courtesy of Xiaomi.Courtesy of Xiaomi

And it is clear the company has its eye on the market beyond China.

Its recent decision to hire away Google’s former vice president of Android product management, Hugo Barra, suggests Xiaomi’s future may be elsewhere—even as it keeps breaking from the Apple formula.

Blogging about his first week in the job, even ex-Googler Barra was struck by the pace:

…it’s been a pretty intense journey so far.

The Chinese tech ecosystem moves at breakneck speed. I’ve never seen such fierce competition and such impassioned desire to build things fast. There’s a pervasive entrepreneurial spirit in companies both small and big.

Hiring Barra could give Xiaomi an edge when it comes to raising the company’s profile internationally, as well as when it comes to dealing with local carriers and regulators. “That could be an important part of the growth strategy, but they’ll also need to deliver on the other part of the strategy for this to work,” says Morning Star analyst Dan Su.

That other part is made up of content and phones. Cheap hardware and an open OS helped Xiaomi build a critical mass of users who it hopes to hook in with Xiaomi’s content and make it king. Once it has built a sticky online store, the company will be able to deliver the same content through any device.

Or at least that’s the plan.

“If they’re putting Xiaomi content services on non-Xiaomi devices, it’s very smart,” says Rajeev Chand, managing director and head of research for Rutberg, an investment bank. Why this strategy works: It maximizes Xiaomi’s customer base and so maximizes its money-making potential. It also puts Xiaomi in a strong position when negotiating content and attracting developers. All in all, Chand says it’s a “drastically different,” approach to that of its competitors Samsung and Lenovo, which are trying to make money from devices while bundling and under-selling content.

Xiamoi has been valued at $10 billion. Other evidence of explosive growth: if you compare the first half of 2013 with the whole of last year, it’s sold almost double the number of handsets and made double the money.

Although its fledgling roots are in smartphones, Xiaomi has spent 2013 trying to multi-screen, move into people’s homes and disrupt another coveted market—television. In April, Xiamoi started selling a set-top box. It added a 3D Smart TV for under $500 to its product line in September. There have even been rumors of a tablet.

In the post-mobile era, Chand says, “you want to be with the consumer throughout the journey.”

But it’s Xiaomi’s recent high-profile hire that helped catapult it into mainstream tech buzz. In an interview with All Things D, Barra said Xiaomi represented “a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity, truly a dream job, this idea of building a global company which could be as significant as Google, from the ground up.”

He added:

There is no question the phone business is very low margin today, but they want to get to a place where they can sell the device at cost and then sell high-margin services to make that phone experience even better.

The company’s already started to sell its wares in Hong Kong and Taiwan, but Lei and his co-founder, another ex-Googler Lin Bin, are hoping that Barra’s international contacts and expertise will really kick off the expansion.

In developing markets, Xiaomi’s quality-to-price ratio makes most sense. That’s why analysts predict it will start with its Asian neighbors first, namely places like Malaysia, Vietnam and Thailand, where the opening price point is attractive compared to the competition.

That said, its international aspirations will prove to be a challenge.

First off, the content that Xiamoi has staked its reputation on is local to China, where Google’s online store, Google Play, has a weak presence. Creating a sticky online store in parts of the world where Google Play is strong, will be difficult, especially in countries which put a premium on brand-recognition, like European countries or the US. Second, there aren’t many precedents of domestic Chinese firms expanding beyond China, nor does the company have anywhere near the marketing resources of Apple. In countries where Lei’s magic doesn’t translate, that will count for a lot. With domestic success certain, what’s really at stake now is whether China can become a global contender.

Quartz

martes, 2 de julio de 2013

Como puede un emprendimiento evaluar el tamaño de mercado

How can a startup company best evaluate market size and find the market data?

Often times investors wants to know market and industry potential and stats of the startup product, how can startups best find and present these informatin?

In this blog post, my aim is to solve two common problems for startups.
1.      What is your total market potential?
2.      How much of that market can/will you capture?
Although it may be impossible to answer these questions accurately, you can use a data-driven, bottom up, and logical approach to help answer these questions in a way that will satisfy potential investors and bankers.
Calculating Market Potential – Example
I want to start by giving you a few tips and tools that you can use to help calculate your total market potential, and then I want to show you a real example of how I calculated the market potential for a product I created for this blog.
1.      Industry Reports – Depending on your market, it may be that a market research firm has already done this work for you.  Don’t make things hard on yourself, if you sell dog food try Googling “Size of Dog Food Industry.”  When I did this I found www.petfoodindustry.com which told me that by 2015 the global pet food industry should reach $56.4 billion.  I am certain that their extensive report will break down the industry by type of pet, so you would be able to find the market potential for the dog food industry.
2.      Competing Websites – This does not work for every industry, but for many industries I think this will be a good data point to use when determining the market potential.  Go to www.compete.com and search for your competitors websites.  If their websites are getting significant traffic you should be able to see an estimate of their traffic.  If you know that your competitor has 100,000 website visitors per month, at least you know that the market potential for your website is at least 100,000.
3.      Google Adwords Keyword Tool - Finally, I would suggest that you use the Google Adwords Keyword Tool to determine how many searches related to your market take place on Google each month.  The data that Google provides through this keyword tool gives marketers no excuse for building a product or service that no one wants, because Google users are telling you exactly what they want through search data.
Now let me show you exactly how I determined the market potential for a product that I released on my blog called the Executive Summary Toolkit.

First, there are no industry reports that show what total market is for business plan executive summary resources, and there are not any other websites that compete specifically for executive summary related keywords only.  There are a number of business plan websites that compete with me.  Based on the
Compete.com data on Bplans.com they receive over 160,000 visits per month.  This gives some idea of the scale of the potential market.  Bplans is the leader in business plan software, templates, examples, and advice, so this number helps me know that my market is probably not 10 million visitors per month, but it is also more than a couple thousand visitors per month.

Determine Market Potential with Google Keyword Tool

Now armed with info from
Compete.com on my major competitors, I use the Google Adwords Keyword Tool to find out how many searches occur every month related to executive summaries.

So I used the keyword tool and typed in “executive summaryâ€
 this gave me the monthly search traffic for that keyword, along with search traffic for dozens of related keyword phrases.  I picked the top 14 relevant keyword phrases, and then added a 15th line item for “All Other Relevant Keyword Phrases”  I listed those keyword phrases and their corresponding monthly traffic estimates.

I added all of this traffic together and came up with a total of 724,620.  Now this is NOT your market potential yet.  There are a number of considerations to include first.
1.      This is only Google search data.  Google dominates the search engine market in many geographic locations, but there is still a healthy 33% or more that do not use Google as a search engine.  So I would simply multiply that Total Search Traffic Number by 1.33.  In my example, that gives us 963,744 as the new total search traffic number.
2.      Now I want to propose for this specific situation that at least one half of these searches are the same person searching more than once, and gradually refining their search terms.  So a user may start with a general search for “Executive Summary”, but what they really want is an “Executive Summary Example Template.”  So your market potential is actually smaller than that total number because each search does not equate to exactly one person searching.  Make sense?  SO… now I am going to cut that Total Monthly Searches number in half, which brings it down to 481,872.
3.      Lastly, I want to point out that there could be potential customers that are not searching for your product or service.  Some businesses are primarily social, so you might generate a majority of your website traffic through Twitter, Facebook, and Google+.  Check out your competitors, are they active in social media?  For me, I know that historically, 25% of my website visitors come from sources other than search engines.  So for the purpose of this example, I am going to multiply 481,872 by 1.25.  Now we end with a market potential of 602,340.
4.      The last consideration is how many of these potential visitors will actually pay for something?  Again this is going to vary by industry, pricing, product quality, etc.  Unless you have some historic data you are going to have to guess here.  I would suggest a LOW number. I know that approximately 1.25% of my website visitors will purchase an Executive Summary Toolkit.  If that is a characteristic of the market as a whole, then I can take 1.25% times 602,340 which gives me 7,529 potential buyers.  If I multiply that by the purchase price of the executive summary toolkit which is $4 and multiply by 12 months I end up with a total annual market potential of – $361,400.
I think we have come up with a data-driven market potential for my executive summary toolkit product, but unfortunately I can not expect to capture the entire market.  Some of you might be working in industries that have a total market potential of hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars, so now the question is how do you project the market share that you can capture?

How to Calculate Potential Market Share


I am going to continue with my example, and ultimately come up with, what I hope is a realistic financial projection for my Executive Summary Toolkit.  In order to do this I am going to take a few steps back and start with our total potential visitors which amounted to 602,340 per month.  We can break this big number down with click through rate data.  As you know, there are 10 search results displayed on the front page of Google, but every searcher does not click on all 10 search results.  Thankfully, Slingshot SEO put together a great report that outlined the click through rate for a search result in each of the top 10 positions on Google.  See the table on the right.

So based on your search position the potential market share that you can capture changes.  For most search phrases your website will not show up more than once in the top 1o results, so the maximum click through rate you should expect is 18.2% if you were in the top search position.

As a startup, it takes time to get your website to rank for the keywords that you want to rank well for, so in the first 6 to 12 months of business your traffic may come entirely from sources other than search engines.

Once you start to rank in the top 10 results for some of your keywords, you can better calculate your market potential by simply applying the click through rate percentages to each keyword phrase.  For example we can look at a few of the keyword phrases that I rank well for in Google:
·        Executive Summary Example – Rank 7 – Total Searches 49,500 – CTR for Rank 7 = 1.9%
·        Executive Summary Format – Rank 9 – Total Searches 6,600 – CTR for Rank 9 = 1.5%
·        Example of Executive Summary – Rank 8 – Total Searches 1,000 – CTR for Rank 8 = 1.7%
With some simple math you can determine how many visits you should receive from each keyword phrase.  Rather than bore you by doing this for every single one of my keyword phrases, I am going to simply utilize the data that Google Webmaster Tools provides me.  For the last month Google Webmaster Tools tells me that my website has showed up in search results 250,000 times, and I have received 12,000 clicks.



Now that I have an estimate for how many people will actually visit my website, I can apply my 1.25% sales conversion rate to my 12,000 visitors per month.  This gives me 150 purchasers per month times $4 sales price times 12 months and I end up with $7,200.  Finally this equates to 1.9% of the total market potential that we calculated above.

After going through this entire process you can now say confidently that your startup plans to capture X percentage of the total market.  Rather than simply pulling a number out of thin air, you can truly use a bottom-up, data-driven approach that will put you ahead of your peers when you present your startup to potential investors or bankers.


Quora

miércoles, 19 de junio de 2013

Grandes crecen más en Twitter

Big Brands Are Growing More Quickly On Twitter Than Facebook (According To Optimal)


By Anthony Ha - TechCrunch


Here’s a fun comparison from Optimal, a social advertising and analytics startup: If you look at big brands on social networks, their following seems to be growing more quickly on Twitter than on Facebook.
Optimal says it looked at the data from 4,330 brands, representing a total of 3.49 billion Facebook Likes and 595 million Twitter followers. Last week, those brands added 18.5 million new Likes and 4.5 million new followers — so on a percentage basis, their following grew 55 percent more quickly on Twitter than it did on Facebook.
Now, you might quibble about whether pitting Facebook Likes against Twitter followers is a bit of an apples-and-oranges comparison, but those are, ultimately, the main ways that businesses can count their following on each service. You could also point out the Twitter audience is still smaller than it is on Facebook — so even though Optimal said Twitter grew more quickly, the brands in question actually got more Facebook Likes than new Twitter followers.
There are cases, however, where brands have a larger following on Twitter, full stop. Facebook-owned Instagram, for example, added the most Twitter followers of all the brands tracked — 279,500 new followers compared to 214,300 Likes. It has 21.3 million followers total and 4.6 million Facebook Likes. (Facebook itself came in at No. 3 on Twitter growth, adding 167,400 new followers and 217,200 Likes.)
Not that Optimal CEO Rob Leathern is really trying to pitch this as Twitter overtaking Facebook.
“I think it does show that Twitter is growing and becoming more relevant for brands, too – in a sense ‘catching up’, but also it is different as well,” he told me via email. “A smaller but often more active audience.”
Optimal also broke down the data by industry. Department and general merchandise stores had the highest growth rate on Twitter (2.01 percent, versus 0.59 percent on Facebook), while books and magazines had the lowest (0.46 percent, compared to 0.61 percent on Facebook).
Leathern said this isn’t necessarily the first time Twitter has outpaced Facebook (in this very specific measurement) — it’s just “the first time we are looking at the data this way.”

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